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Is 100 Percent Renewable Energy Attainable?

From Observatory

In 2023, renewables accounted for about 30 percent of energy consumption. At the same time, electricity made up just a fifth of overall energy consumption. The implication is that renewables need to expand in the transportation and heating sectors to mitigate the worst effects of climate change. Accomplishing this is further complicated by anticipated population growth.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warns that carbon emissions must be reduced to net zero by 2050 to prevent dire consequences. IPCC scenarios show that renewables should comprise 70 to 85 percent of electricity generation by 2050 to stay below the critical 1.5 degrees Celsius warming threshold. The current trajectory falls short of these targets.

Two camps have emerged in the quest for zero net emissions. One side believes renewables can scale up rapidly, the other argues that complementary technologies like nuclear power and carbon capture and storage (CCS) are necessary. Experts strongly recommend considering a broad range of options to determine the most socially beneficial and environmentally sustainable solutions. The scientific literature reveals a growing consensus that a diverse portfolio of low-carbon resources, including nuclear, biomass, hydropower, and CCS, offers the best chance of achieving zero or near-zero carbon emissions. Clean energy systems that rely solely on renewables are deemed less feasible in many studies.

Energy storage poses a critical challenge for renewable energy integration. While advancements have been made in batteries and hydrogen fuel cells, significant capacity expansions are required to ensure a reliable energy supply during extreme weather events. Furthermore, regulatory, market, and environmental obstacles impede the expansion of pumped-storage hydropower, the main form of energy storage today. That said, experts remain hopeful about the potential of other energy storage technologies and anticipate unforeseen changes in energy markets.

To accelerate the adoption of renewables, local and regional solutions are being explored alongside broader strategies. Texas offers an example of renewable energy success, with wind, solar, and nuclear power accounting for over 40 percent of its electricity generation in 2022. Many cities and states across the U.S. have committed to 100 percent renewable energy goals; some have already achieved them.

While progress has been slow, geopolitical shifts and rising global energy prices have prompted governments to accelerate domestic energy production, including renewables, nuclear power, and hydropower. Addressing climate change requires ambitious and comprehensive approaches fit for the scale of the problem. Ultimately, achieving 100 percent renewable energy relies on overcoming political, cultural, and regulatory barriers. Continued efforts, innovative solutions, and global collaboration are crucial.

Read full article "Is 100 Percent Renewable Energy Attainable?" by Dan Ross.

🔭   This summary was human-edited with AI-assist.

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